August was a good month for Hillary Clinton in the Sunshine State and the rest of the nation. Recent poll data continues to show Clinton’s lead grow over her competitors–namely Barack Obama, who still ranks second overall in national polls but has seen his standing slip considerably in recent months.
According to Pollster, Clinton is polling at an average of 40.5% in Florida. This compares to Obama’s 18% and Al Gore, who has managed to grab 12.7% of the polled’s eyes, despite the fact he has not even entered the Democratic field as of this writing. John Edwards, who ranks 11.7%, is placed third among presently running Democratic contenders and fourth overall. Pollster also breaks down the numbers based on a number of other, individual polls that have been conducted by various organizations. A sampling of the Pollster Florida data shows the following: Rasmussen (August 13th) places Clinton at 43%, Obama at 24%, and Edwards third, with 11%; Strategic Vision (August 10th-12th) places Clinton at 40%, Obama 20%, and Edwards 16%; Finally, Quinnipiac (July 30th-August 6th) reflects polls putting Clinton again at the top with 43%, Obama at 13%, Gore at 11%, and Edwards with 8%.
These numbers compare with those from earlier in the summer, when in these same polls, Clinton came in at approximately 39%, Obama around 17%, Gore hanging near 13%, and Edwards with roughly 12 % in the composite of Florida polls in June and July.
Clinton Strong in National Polls
National polls reflect a slightly tighter race overall between Clinton and Obama, but Clinton’s numbers have been on a marked increase over the past few weeks while Obama’s polling figures have shown a slight decrease. Pollster’s national composite data as of August 22nd reveal Clinton’s lead to be 38.7%, Obama placing second at 22%, and Edwards fourth (10.8%) behind Gore’s third-place 13.8%. Dissecting the numbers from some selected polls cited on Pollster, Fox (August 21-22nd) shows Clinton at 35%, Obama with 23%, Gore at 10%, and Edwards hanging around 6%, a number that puts the former Senator and 2004 vice-presidential near Governor Bill Richardson’s poll territory–3% nationally. Gallup (August 13th-6th) gives Clinton a more significant lead over Obama–42% versus 23% respectively; Gore again takes the third spot at 15% and Edwards claims 11%. Richardson manages 1% in that poll. Quinnipiac (August 7th-13th) puts Clinton at 36%, Obama near 21%, Gore again at 15%, Edwards with 9%, and Richardson with 3%. CNN’s (August 6th-8th) polling data reveal Clinton leading over Obama 40% versus 21%, Edwards at third with 13%, Gore ranking fourth with 11%, and Richardson picking up 5%.
Polls Without Gore Help Edwards
Pollster also has August poll data suggesting where votes would go without Gore’s inclusion: American Research Group (August 9th-12th) puts Clinton and Obama at 36% and 21% respectively, but shows significantly different numbers for Edwards and Richardson than Gore-inclusive polls: Edwards pulls in 16% and Richardson 7%. Newsweek’s (August 1st-2nd) Goreless poll indicates 44% of the vote would go to Clinton, 23% to Obama, Edwards would collect 14%, and Richardson placed fourth, with only 1%.
Pollster. “Homepage.” 1 September 2007. http://www.pollster.com/
Pollster. “Florida Democratic Primary.” 1 September 2007. http://www.pollster.com/08-FL-Dem-Pres-Primary.php
Pollster. “United States Democratic Primary.” 1 September 2007. http://www.pollster.com/08-US-Dem-Pres-Primary.php