The entrance of New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg into the Presidential Election could lead to some very interesting developments. According to the latest USA Today/Gallup poll he has a pretty good support base, coming mostly from the political center, the neither liberal or conservative who both ends of the spectrum need for election.
According to the July 6-8, 2007 survey, 12% of registered voters say they would vote for Bloomberg in a three-candidate race that includes Hillary Clinton as the Democratic candidate, and Rudy Giuliani as the Republican.
With these three candidates, the percentages look like this Hillary Clinton, 45%, Rudy Giuliani, 39% and Michael Bloomberg 12%. Those with no opinion or voting for others, 3%. However, a good percentage of the American people feel they do not know enough about Mayor Bloomberg. In contrast to Giuliani and Clinton, who have near universal recognition with Americans, more than a third of Americans (37%) don’t know enough about Bloomberg to rate him. Among the remainder, he is viewed, on balance, more favorably than unfavorably, 36% vs. 27%. His actual percentages turn out to be favorable 36%, unfavorable 27%, 11% never heard of and 26% no opinion.
They reference another poll that they took in June 2007 regarding Independent Candidates that indicates the public is more open to an Independent candidate, not necessarily just Mayor Bloomberg. That poll included a “generic ballot” question that asked whether they would vote for the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, or an independent candidate not affiliated with either party if the 2008 presidential election were held today. Eleven percent of registered voters say they would vote for the independent candidate — very similar to Bloomberg’s 12%. The poll showed that 48% would vote Democratic, 33% would vote Republican, 11% independent and 8% said other or no opinion you can see that the independent candidates do have an impact on the election, more than most people realize. For instance, take a look at the 200 election. In that election possibly siphoned enough votes away from Al Gore to cost Gore the election.
One of the most interesting facts that came out of this survey comes from when the poll asked Americans if they think the Republican and Democratic parties do an adequate job of representing the American people, or if they do such a poor job that a third major party is needed. Only 33% of Americans say the parties do an adequate job, while a majority of Americans, 58%, say a third party is needed.
Bloomberg supporters are much more likely than Clinton or Giuliani supporters to say a third major party is needed — 81% of Bloomberg supporters share this view, compared with 56% of Giuliani supporters and 52% of Clinton supporters.
Results are based on telephone interviews with 1,014 national adults, aged 18 and older, conducted July 6-8, 2007. For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points
Source Gallup Poll http://www.galluppoll.com/content/?ci=28129